tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20537576.post3367682252034997748..comments2023-11-03T04:37:43.106-07:00Comments on Security Dilemmas: What Happened in Syria on 6 September?Seth Weinbergerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02120373717676117647noreply@blogger.comBlogger9125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20537576.post-82070855022127918662009-05-05T18:26:00.000-07:002009-05-05T18:26:00.000-07:00cheap wow power leveling buy wow gold cheapest wow...cheap <A HREF="http://www.wowpowerleveling.me/" REL="nofollow">wow power leveling</A> buy <A HREF="http://www.wowgold-powerleveling.com/" REL="nofollow">wow gold</A> cheapest <A HREF="http://www.wowgold-powerleveling.com/" REL="nofollow">wow power leveling</A> CHEAP <A HREF="www.wowpowerleveling.me/" REL="nofollow">wow gold</A> BUY <A HREF="http://www.wowgold-powerleveling.com/" REL="nofollow">power leveling</A> CHEAPEST <A HREF="http://www.wowgold-powerleveling.com/" REL="nofollow">wow powerleveling</A> YangQiang<br /><A HREF="http://www.globalsale.me/" REL="nofollow">wow gold</A><A HREF="http://www.cheapgamegold.org" REL="nofollow">wow gold</A><A HREF="http://www.cheap-gamegold.org" REL="nofollow">wow gold</A><A HREF="http://www.gamegoldvip.org" REL="nofollow">wow gold</A>Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20537576.post-68523885507852704392007-10-22T14:07:00.000-07:002007-10-22T14:07:00.000-07:00Pretty disturbing story , very interesting read .I...Pretty disturbing story , very interesting read .<BR/><BR/>It is pretty incredible that something like this had happend , I wonder If the Isrealies shared their intelligence with the US and other allies before or after they had struck the targets . <BR/><BR/>Also it makes you wonder if North Korea had shared nuclear technology with Syria , DO you think they might have shared their information with Iran . <BR/><BR/>This makes the World War 3 comment from Bush days ago a little more chilly sounding .<BR/><BR/>World War 3 US and allies against Iran Nkorea and perhaps Russia . Yikespoliticsfan20080910https://www.blogger.com/profile/12696551402839861898noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20537576.post-60979620383683959392007-10-18T10:43:00.000-07:002007-10-18T10:43:00.000-07:00Matt: the Turkey question is a very interesting o...Matt: the Turkey question is a very interesting one. I do think Turkey is justified in crossing the Iraqi borders as Kurdish rebels are using the Kurdish areas of Iraq for sanctuary; just last week rebels crossed the border and attacked a Turkish post, killing 11 (I think) soldiers. Turkey certainly has the right to respond, and if Iraq can't control its borders, Turkey is justified in limited incursions to deal with the rebel threat.<BR/><BR/>However, the public attention Turkey is calling to the possible incursion -- the parliamentary vote and the public warnings -- is theater in response to the House vote on the Armenian genocide. In normal times, Turkey simply would have crossed the border and attacked the rebels without calling attention to its actions. Iraq would have lodged a pro forma protest, and not much else would happen. But the vote by the House Foreign Relations Committee puts the whole thing in a new light, making the situation much more dangerous. Ultimately, both sides will likely back down, as relations between Turkey and the US are too valuable. But things could be tense for the next few days.Seth Weinbergerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02120373717676117647noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20537576.post-28652636467468341472007-10-18T10:22:00.000-07:002007-10-18T10:22:00.000-07:00Ah ok. I was confused between what you said in you...Ah ok. I was confused between what you said in your post and in your original response to my first comment. <BR/><BR/>I too am surprised that the Bush administration hasn't been more...vocal, about the events of that date, but I think they are being cautious after what happened with North Korea and the collapse of the Agreed Framework in 2002-2003. The results produced this year in the six-party talks are some of the only tangible and immediate achievements of the administation's foreign policy, so perhaps they are loathe to see that be tossed aside at this point.<BR/><BR/>On a completely unrelated note, I'm curious: what do you make of the situation with Turkey at the moment? Is a Turkish incursion into Iraqi Kurdistan likely and wise? What would be the US reaction/response?MDChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10997656241292833799noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20537576.post-8366464075754298102007-10-18T10:09:00.000-07:002007-10-18T10:09:00.000-07:00Matt: I thought I was being clear, so I apologize...Matt: I thought I was being clear, so I apologize if I wasn't. I do not think the talks should collapse. I don't see any good options other than negotiations. So, even in the face of a transgression like this, I would prefer to see the negotiated settlement persist and continue. If, however, it becomes publicly acknowledged that North Korea provided a reactor to Syria, I find it hard to believe that Bush will be able to maintain support for the negotiations.Seth Weinbergerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02120373717676117647noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20537576.post-4929480474329815922007-10-18T09:43:00.000-07:002007-10-18T09:43:00.000-07:00It is unclear whether you personally think the dea...It is unclear whether you personally think the deal <I> should </I> collapse or if you are merely saying the weight of the Bush administration will be leaning toward scuttling the deal. In the original post, you mentioned that "it's up to the diplomats to ensure that this doesn't undermine the progress in North Korea" and "it's clearly the only option for dealing with North Korea's nuclear program at the moment." <BR/><BR/>Either way, the approach taken by A/S Chris Hill is that all of this is reason to continue the six-party process to can up the NORKs program and ensure that Pyongyang is unable to spread its nuclear technology. That would imply, at the very least, that him and Sec. Rice still have the President's ear. <BR/><BR/>To the anonymous commenter, your statement that "there is no agreement yet from six-party-talks with North Korea," is thankfully wrong. In addition to the Feb 13 agreement from earlier this year, this month saw the <A HREF="http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2007-10/03/content_6829017.htm" REL="nofollow"> agreement with North Korea </A> to disable its three bomb-producing facilities by year's end. Whether they will live up to this no one knows; but far better to have something by which to cite their disarmament obligations than to abandon years of difficult negotations and diplomacy amidst what are, to date, rumors.MDChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10997656241292833799noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20537576.post-42792502473634413362007-10-15T21:48:00.000-07:002007-10-15T21:48:00.000-07:00First of all there is no agreement yet from six-pa...First of all there is no agreement yet from six-party-talks with North Korea. As of today Kim Jong Il has shown his ability to play with international community and use it (abuse it) for his own interest. <BR/><BR/>Meanwhile, the latest development shows that North Korea, who's arms industry is among the only few remaining assets, has always had the ability to sell arms and try to proliferate its arm capabilities. <BR/><BR/>If there were North Koreans (on site) in Syria, they were not there for fun. Specially when one has to consider that North Koreans are not allowed to travel out of their home country without strick permission from their government, as well as they have to travel in group of 2 or more. <BR/><BR/>Therefore trying to "safeguard" the six-party-talks only to show that "diplomacy is working" while closing an eye on North's proliferation, is another huge mistake. <BR/><BR/><BR/>Israel did very well to hit that target, better now than later.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20537576.post-7120894765725290902007-10-15T19:09:00.000-07:002007-10-15T19:09:00.000-07:00Matt:It doesn't matter whether the collaboration b...Matt:<BR/><BR/>It doesn't matter whether the collaboration began after the 2/13 agreement. If it becomes public knowledge that, despite being enmeshed in a negotiating process of several years, North Korea was helping Syria develop a nuclear program, all support and impetus for negotiations within the US disappears. Cheney and Bolton win. It was difficult enough for Bush to muster the diplomacy necessary to get this agreement; evidence of proliferation scuttles the whole deal.Seth Weinbergerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02120373717676117647noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20537576.post-64589470807268098522007-10-15T19:05:00.000-07:002007-10-15T19:05:00.000-07:00I don't know that North Korean efforts to spread i...I don't know that North Korean efforts to spread its nuclear technology would lead to an immediate collapse of the Feb 13th agreement, since it comes within the confines of the six-party talks and is hence padded with other members with appropriate stakes. <BR/><BR/>Even at that, assuming North Korea was responsible or that the Sanger article is indeed describing the target of the Israeli air raid, there is no evidence that this alleged collaboration on the reactor front began <I>after</I> Feb. 13. Moreover, wouldn't North Korean horizontal proliferation be all the better reason to can up its program rather than leave it to its own devices as it was from early 2003-early 2007? <BR/><BR/>There are also no indications (as of yet) that the Syrians are/were devloping reprocessing technology, without which this program would be going nowhere (militarily, at least).<BR/><BR/>Sanger typically has his ear to the ground in DC. But this article is one among many and the story is far from over. Hopefully in due time more will become available in the public domain. <BR/><BR/>In the meantime, someone really should begin looking at commercial satellite images to see what was destroyed and where.MDChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10997656241292833799noreply@blogger.com